Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.237221 12.598904 14.100346 15.885662 17.959624 20.303694 23.168656
2025-11-02 9.236768 10.976505 13.040100 15.692721 19.047335 23.196364 28.791554
2025-11-09 8.032024 9.915662 12.260793 15.439408 19.704822 25.333202 33.498487
2025-11-16 7.194220 9.153197 11.688232 15.275558 20.332051 27.380603 38.276751
2025-11-23 6.465432 8.428827 11.050799 14.895685 20.543779 28.795464 42.280626
2025-11-30 5.966582 7.950979 10.677643 14.808941 21.115757 30.748569 47.359411
2025-12-07 5.400997 7.323568 10.026035 14.230066 20.852694 31.347315 50.283477
2025-12-14 4.877602 6.710922 9.337715 13.516552 20.279337 31.344469 52.125077
2025-12-21 4.534072 6.330978 8.956178 13.229498 20.340961 32.373293 55.953104
2025-12-28 4.618396 6.585881 9.541637 14.515893 23.139945 38.478590 70.546004
2026-01-04 4.463823 6.464300 9.531997 14.824125 24.286980 41.773375 80.227422
2026-01-11 4.174981 6.114165 9.132829 14.436226 24.139396 42.593000 84.774205
2026-01-18 4.060642 6.039789 9.185651 14.855730 25.572563 46.812046 98.179736
2026-01-25 3.839923 5.780677 8.916064 14.681940 25.864573 48.774302 106.802875
2026-02-01 3.629497 5.523908 8.630054 14.448363 26.005172 50.427396 115.067460
2026-02-08 3.452090 5.310193 8.401268 14.297445 26.289985 52.435422 124.814556
2026-02-15 3.256874 5.054862 8.082597 13.947380 26.119775 53.379657 131.867301
2026-02-22 3.120094 4.890607 7.912606 13.867419 26.510676 55.701161 143.638983
2026-03-01 2.924814 4.615355 7.527509 13.333576 25.855594 55.385553 147.232271
2026-03-08 2.724978 4.322838 7.095435 12.674996 24.859866 54.088388 147.385239
2026-03-15 2.595324 4.147053 6.866566 12.409859 24.726520 54.980203 155.139774
2026-03-22 2.672396 4.339720 7.327788 13.597218 28.087146 65.685074 201.376716
2026-03-29 2.624129 4.304282 7.357552 13.881416 29.342183 70.906536 229.749871